Navigating the Choppy Waters of Retail Equity (RegCF):

Navigating the Choppy Waters of Retail Equity (RegCF): A Call for Prudent Investment Strategies

In recent years, the Retail Equity (RegCF) markets have blossomed, showcasing a promising trajectory characterized by exponential growth. The charts are impressive, the trends are upward, and the future seems bright. However, as an observant player in this domain, my eyes have caught a trend that raises serious concerns.

At Doriot Venture Club, we've scrutinized more than 65 RegCF deals and have confidently invested in over 40 of them. Our journey in this dynamic market has been eye-opening, to say the least. Yet, a recent data release by Kingscrowd has brought a glaring issue to the fore, one that could potentially thwart the momentum we are witnessing: a whopping 80% of RegCF offerings are predominantly issuing Common Equity instead of Convertible Preferred Equity.

To a novice, this distinction might seem minuscule, a mere technicality in the grand scheme of things. But for seasoned investors, aimed at garnering substantial returns, this trend signals an imminent problem. Here's why:

The Dichotomy of Common and Convertible Preferred Equity

Before we delve deeper, allow me to briefly describe the difference between the two. Common shares represent the most basic form of company ownership, granting you a share of the company's profits, a slice of its enterprise value, and usually, voting rights. However, these profits are only accessible after all operational costs are covered, and for startups, this could mean a long wait given their substantial financial needs.

On the flip side, Convertible Preferred Shares (CPS) occupy a superior position, offering the right to convert these preferred shares into common class shares during a liquidity event that benefits the common class. In simpler terms, CPS investors have a safety net, better ensuring either a full investment return on a downside exit or a substantial profit during an upside exit.

A Simple Illustration

Imagine investing $1000 in a startup where each common share costs $1. Five years down the line, the company is sold and each share is valued at $0.50, resulting in a 50% loss on your investment. However, with CPS, you have the option to redeem your entire investment, safeguarding it against such downturns. Moreover, if the common shares flourish, converting CPS into common shares can net you significant profits, creating a win-win situation.

The Impending Crisis and the Way Forward

Unfortunately, the current tilt towards common equity in the RegCF market is a deviation from traditional Angel and VC market norms. This shift is gradually morphing the RegCF arena into a hub for underwhelming deals, potentially dampening returns and investor interest.

It is imperative, especially for founders, to pivot towards strategies that prioritize investor returns. Embracing this approach not only fosters trust but ensures a successful run during subsequent fundraising rounds.

To all founders out there: embedding this principle into your investment strategies is not just wise, but necessary. As you venture into your next fundraising rounds, you'll find that prioritizing investor returns will pave the way for a fruitful and enduring journey.

Conclusion: Aligning with Traditional Venture Principles

To truly thrive, the RegCF markets must harmonize with the established principles of traditional venture ecosystems. Only then can we anticipate attracting investors well-versed in the venture domain and elevate the RegCF markets to a platform for promising, lucrative deals.

In this evolving narrative, let's spearhead a movement that emphasizes balance and foresight, fostering a RegCF environment that promises not just growth, but stability and remarkable returns for every stakeholder involved.